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After Somalia, Egypt Eyes Eritrea in Strategic Play to Isolate Ethiopia

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Cairo’s diplomatic moves in the Horn of Africa intensify as Egypt seeks military cooperation with Eritrea to pressure Ethiopia over the Grand Renaissance Dam.

Egypt is turning up the heat in the Horn of Africa, and its latest target is Eritrea. In a bold move that could further isolate Ethiopia, Egyptian intelligence and foreign affairs officials met with Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki in Asmara over the weekend, delivering a direct message from President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi. The message was clear: Cairo is ready to “strengthen and develop bilateral relations in all fields,” signaling potential military cooperation between the two nations, including joint measures to protect Red Sea shipping lanes.

This meeting is the latest in a string of aggressive diplomatic maneuvers by Egypt, aimed squarely at its long-standing nemesis, Ethiopia. Tensions between Cairo and Addis Ababa are already high, largely due to Ethiopia’s construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) on the Blue Nile, a project that Egypt views as a direct threat to its vital water supply. Egypt’s recent military cooperation agreement with Somalia—allowing for the deployment of 10 Egyptian soldiers—has only exacerbated tensions, with Ethiopia responding swiftly by ramping up its military presence along the Somali border.

Now, it appears Egypt is looking to replicate this strategy with Eritrea, a move that could further destabilize the region. According to the Emirati newspaper The National, discussions between Egypt and Eritrea could lead to a military cooperation agreement similar to the one signed with Somalia, sparking fears of increased military escalation. In addition, Egypt is reportedly positioning itself as a mediator in Eritrea’s long-standing conflict with the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), a conflict that has also entangled Ethiopia. For Addis Ababa, this could mean even more pressure on multiple fronts.

The diplomatic chess game between Egypt and Ethiopia is not just about military muscle—it’s also about strategic geography. Egypt controls the northern Red Sea, including the critical Suez Canal, while Eritrea’s proximity to the Bab el Mandeb Strait—one of the world’s most vital maritime chokepoints—makes it a highly strategic partner for Egypt. Together, these nations hold sway over key global shipping routes, adding a layer of complexity to the already tense regional dynamic.

Sisi and Afwerki’s latest meeting follows a series of high-level discussions that have taken place over the past year. In February, the two leaders met in Cairo, and just three months prior, they had sat down in Riyadh. The frequency of these meetings highlights the growing importance of this relationship, not just for bilateral cooperation but as a direct counterbalance to Ethiopia’s growing regional influence.

The potential military agreement with Eritrea would be just one of many Cairo has signed with countries in the Horn of Africa, East Africa, and the Nile Basin. Egypt has recently inked deals with Djibouti, Kenya, Uganda, Sudan, and, most notably, Somalia. Each of these agreements has analysts speculating that Egypt’s ultimate goal is to put enough pressure on Ethiopia to force concessions in the ongoing GERD dispute.

The timing of these agreements has only deepened the rift between Egypt and Ethiopia. The agreement with Somalia, signed in mid-August, has been particularly inflammatory, as Egypt sent troops to Somalia, stirring fears in Addis Ababa of a coordinated front against Ethiopia. In response, Ethiopia deployed armored vehicles and soldiers along the border and took control of key airports in Somalia’s Gedo region, likely to prevent any further Egyptian military presence in the area.

The geopolitical entanglement between Somalia, Eritrea, Egypt, and Ethiopia is more than just a territorial or military chess game. It’s a battle for influence, survival, and, ultimately, control of the Nile’s lifeblood. Ethiopia’s Grand Renaissance Dam—nearing completion—represents both a symbol of national pride and an existential threat for Egypt. Addis Ababa insists the dam is crucial for its development, while Cairo fears it will diminish its already scarce water resources.

Complicating matters further is Egypt’s renewed closeness with Somalia, which has deepened since the election of Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud in 2022. Egypt has become a key player in Somalia’s security apparatus, helping train soldiers and supply weapons. Recent reports suggest that Somalia may even be considering granting Egypt a military base, a move that would certainly provoke further outrage in Ethiopia.

Adding to the intrigue is Egypt’s recent rapprochement with Turkey, Somalia’s longtime ally. After years of tense relations, Cairo and Ankara are now back on speaking terms, evidenced by President Sisi’s visit to Turkey this year, the first since 2014. This diplomatic thaw could further shift the balance of power in the region, as Egypt seeks to solidify alliances while Ethiopia remains increasingly isolated.

As Egypt continues to flex its diplomatic and military muscles, the Horn of Africa is fast becoming a powder keg. The question is, how long until it ignites? Egypt’s calculated moves—strengthening ties with Somalia and Eritrea, expanding its military reach, and pressuring Ethiopia—are setting the stage for a regional showdown that could have far-reaching consequences, not just for the countries involved but for the entire region.

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Türkiye’s Oruc Reis to Embark on High-Stakes Seismic Mission Off Somali Coast

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Amid energy ambitions, Türkiye’s flagship vessel heads to Somali waters, seeking oil and gas reserves in uncharted territories.

Türkiye is taking bold steps into Somalia’s untapped energy reserves, sending its flagship research vessel, the Oruc Reis, on a seismic survey mission in search of oil and natural gas. Departing from Istanbul, the vessel is tasked with mapping potential drilling sites off the Somali coast. Backed by naval frigates, this seven-month operation, covering three licensed zones, reflects a high-stakes endeavor in Türkiye’s energy strategy. The mission is part of a broader geopolitical move, symbolizing Türkiye’s growing influence in East Africa’s strategic waters.

The Oruc Reis, named after the famous Ottoman naval commander, is no stranger to exploration, having completed surveys spanning 23,000 square kilometers in the Mediterranean. This new venture is particularly significant as it explores Somali waters for the first time. With its advanced 3D seismic technology, the ship will provide critical data to help pinpoint resource-rich locations, potentially altering the region’s energy landscape.

The Somali coast is uncharted territory when it comes to seismic exploration, and Turkish officials, including Energy Minister Alparslan Bayraktar, are cautiously optimistic about the oil indicators in the area. The Turkish Petroleum Corporation’s recent agreements with Somalia have granted Türkiye exclusive exploration rights, further solidifying its foothold in the Horn of Africa.

The mission’s symbolic weight goes beyond oil—it is a statement of Türkiye’s rising energy ambitions. As global powers jostle for influence in Africa’s emerging energy markets, Türkiye is positioning itself as a key player in this strategic arena, where economic interests and political dynamics intersect.

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US Warships and Planes Strike Houthi Targets in Yemen

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Pentagon Launches Retaliatory Attacks After Houthi Assaults on Shipping Lanes

In a sharp escalation, US warships and planes launched coordinated strikes against the Iranian-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen, targeting 15 sites across key cities, including the capital, Sanaa. The Pentagon declared the strikes as vital to “protect freedom of navigation” in the Red Sea, a region increasingly threatened by Houthi assaults on international vessels.

For months, the Houthis have mounted an aggressive campaign, sinking two ships and targeting around 100 vessels in retaliation for Israel’s military offensive in Gaza. These attacks prompted the US to step in, concerned over the strategic shipping lanes essential for global trade. Central Command emphasized that the US strikes focused on key Houthi assets, including weapons systems and bases used for these maritime disruptions.

Recent events highlight the growing tension between the Houthis and Israel, as the rebel group has expanded its campaign beyond the Red Sea, directly targeting Israeli sites. In recent months, drone and missile strikes have hit Tel Aviv and Israel’s main airport, killing civilians and sparking Israeli retaliatory strikes on Yemen. The increasing sophistication of these Houthi operations, including the downing of a US-made MQ-9 Reaper drone, showcases their growing military capability under Iranian guidance.

This confrontation forms part of a larger regional dynamic, with the Houthis as a crucial player in Iran’s network of allied militant groups, including Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza. While US military strikes may temporarily stymie the group’s operations, the conflict threatens to pull more actors into this spiraling regional conflict.

The Pentagon’s retaliatory actions also highlight the risks to international shipping in one of the world’s most vital waterways. Last year, the US, UK, and several allies launched Operation Prosperity Guardian to safeguard Red Sea routes, underscoring the strategic importance of keeping these lanes open. However, the Houthi escalation and growing Iranian influence complicate the prospects of stabilizing the region.

As the US ramps up its military involvement, the situation remains volatile, with many questioning how far this conflict will spread and what the long-term implications will be for regional stability. Will Iran further entrench its position, or could these strikes provoke a larger showdown involving more global powers? The stakes have never been higher.

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Envoy: Russian leadership Decides to Delist Taliban as Terrorist Group

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Delisting the Taliban Sparks Global Debate

Russia’s decision to delist Afghanistan’s ruling Taliban from its roster of terrorist organizations is poised to set the international community ablaze with debate. Zamir Kabulov, Russia’s envoy for South Asia, revealed that Moscow’s leadership has made a “principal decision” and is now finalizing the legal steps to remove the group from its terrorist designation. Though the Taliban remain unrecognized globally, Moscow’s move represents a significant departure from the Taliban’s previous standing in the eyes of the international community.

This announcement, made on the sidelines of a conference in Moscow, raised eyebrows across global capitals. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, addressing the summit attended by China, India, and other key regional players, underscored the necessity of “pragmatic dialogue” with Afghanistan’s new rulers. It’s clear that Moscow, which once fought a grueling war against Afghan insurgents in the 1980s, has reshaped its stance, drawing the Taliban closer in its geopolitical orbit. Lavrov praised the Taliban’s efforts in combating the Islamic State’s regional affiliate, IS-Khorasan, signaling Moscow’s broader regional interests that transcend ideological differences.

Russia’s overtures to the Taliban are anything but casual. The two nations have grown closer since the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021. In a statement that drew global scrutiny, Russian President Vladimir Putin had previously described the Taliban as an ally against terrorism, a position few could have imagined just years earlier. What makes this move even more provocative is that the Taliban, still designated as a terrorist organization by most Western nations, including the U.S., are now being positioned by Moscow as a stabilizing force in a region fraught with violent extremist threats.

However, Moscow’s calculated diplomatic dance with the Taliban isn’t without risk. Washington, which continues to condemn the Taliban for their human rights record and repressive governance, has been vocal in its opposition to any formal recognition of the Taliban regime. As Karen Decker, head of the U.S. diplomatic mission for Afghanistan, reiterated, the U.S. has no plans to soften its stance. For Washington, the Taliban’s past and present actions continue to cast them as undeserving of international legitimacy, despite the Kremlin’s apparent eagerness to bring them into the fold.

Russia’s gambit plays into broader regional dynamics as countries like Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan move to delist the Taliban from their outlawed groups as well. The shift indicates an emerging consensus among some Central Asian nations, eager to balance security concerns with pragmatic regional politics. Lavrov, eager to frame this as a regional necessity, lauded the Taliban’s crackdown on drug production—a nod to the group’s utility in fighting the opium trade, another factor that motivates Moscow’s evolving stance.

But this pivot also opens the door to uncomfortable questions. Is Russia’s willingness to engage with the Taliban a reflection of realpolitik? Are they hedging against future threats while banking on a weakened U.S. presence in the region? And, crucially, what does this mean for global counterterrorism efforts, especially as groups like IS-K continue to operate in Afghanistan?

For now, the international community watches closely, as Moscow inches toward what could be a seismic shift in regional diplomacy. While Moscow is framing this as a necessary step to bring stability to Afghanistan, the move has stirred controversy, reigniting debates over the legitimacy of the Taliban and the broader implications of their delisting. As Russia continues to build bridges with Kabul, global powers are left wondering: is this the beginning of a new geopolitical order in South Asia, or simply a dangerous gamble?

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Rape, kidnapping charges dropped against Somali Rideshare driver

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Rideshare Drivers Plan Protest After Charges Dropped Against Somali Driver in Rape, Kidnapping Case

Rideshare drivers in Tukwila are preparing to protest after charges of rape and kidnapping against a Somali Uber driver, Ahmed Hassan Ali, 58, were dropped by prosecutors. The charges were dismissed after dashcam footage failed to prove the allegations beyond a reasonable doubt.

Ali, who had been accused of assaulting an intoxicated passenger, was initially arrested when the woman’s family found her unclothed in his car. The case has sparked tension, with drivers calling for Ali’s reinstatement, while prosecutors cite insufficient evidence to proceed.

The incident, which took place in Thurston County, initially involved disturbing claims backed by GPS data, but the lack of conclusive evidence led to the dismissal.

The case has raised concerns about the judicial process and the challenges of balancing legal certainty with public safety.

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Pakistan Imposes Drastic Measures to Quell Opposition Rally Amid Political Tensions

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Authorities in Islamabad on Friday enacted stringent security measures, including road blockades, suspension of cell services, and school closures, to prevent supporters of jailed former Prime Minister Imran Khan from marching on the capital. The rally, called by Khan’s Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party, was planned to protest alleged electoral fraud and controversial constitutional amendments proposed by the ruling coalition led by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif.

Security forces, bolstered by paramilitary units, sealed off major entry points into Islamabad and its twin city Rawalpindi, home to Pakistan’s military headquarters. The government also banned public gatherings, citing the need for heightened security ahead of diplomatic meetings, including an upcoming visit by Chinese Prime Minister Li Qiang.

Khan, incarcerated since August on contentious corruption charges, urged his supporters to gather at D-Chowk, a central square near parliament, to peacefully challenge what he describes as a rigged electoral process and an illegitimate government. His arrest has only deepened the rift between Khan’s populist movement and the military-backed government, which has faced mounting criticism for its crackdown on dissent.

On the ground, tensions flared as police arrested dozens of PTI activists, including two of Khan’s sisters, Aleema Khan and Uzma Khanum, and used tear gas to disperse demonstrators. Thousands of supporters from PTI-governed Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, led by the provincial chief minister, marched toward the capital despite these efforts to block their access.

Human rights organizations, including Amnesty International, condemned the government’s response. The watchdog decried the shutdown of communication networks and roadblocks, calling them an infringement on the public’s right to peaceful assembly and free expression. Amnesty urged Pakistan to honor its international obligations and refrain from employing “unlawful force” against the demonstrators.

Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi defended the heavy-handed measures, emphasizing the need to maintain order ahead of crucial diplomatic engagements, including the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit scheduled for mid-October. He warned PTI against proceeding with the protest, stating, “Anyone caught will not be shown any leniency.”

The political turmoil has been exacerbated by Khan’s ousting in 2022 through a parliamentary no-confidence vote, which he claims was orchestrated by the military—an assertion Sharif and the military deny. Despite being under constant pressure, Khan’s PTI won the largest share of seats in February’s general election but fell short of securing a parliamentary majority, allowing the ruling coalition to remain in power. Khan’s enduring popularity has kept him at the center of Pakistan’s volatile political landscape, even as the government continues to tighten its grip on opposition activities.

The ongoing confrontation underscores the deepening fissures within Pakistan’s democracy, where the military’s influence and a polarized political environment complicate prospects for stability. As both sides dig in, the question remains whether this political impasse can be resolved through dialogue—or if the nation will see further unrest.

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Sudan’s Man-Made Famine: A Humanitarian Crisis in a Conflict-Ravaged Nation

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Amid Sudan’s brutal civil war, famine is ravaging millions, exacerbated by warring factions using hunger as a weapon. As Sudan’s military and paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) block critical UN aid, millions are left to starve, particularly in rebel-controlled areas like South Kordofan and Darfur. While global famine relief systems exist, Sudan’s refusal to grant access has paralyzed them, leaving the country in what aid workers describe as a “humanitarian desert.” Each day, hundreds die from starvation, with grim consequences.

For Raous Fleg, a 39-year-old mother of nine, survival has become a daily battle. Sheltering in South Kordofan’s Boram county, Fleg and fellow camp residents face near-certain starvation. After receiving a single aid delivery in May, they now rely on wild leaves for sustenance. Despite Fleg’s desperate efforts, her mother perished from hunger—a fate shared by countless others in this war-torn country.

Sudan’s ongoing conflict and deliberate aid obstruction highlight the fragility of the global system tasked with combating famine. The country is a harrowing case study of what happens when the essential final link in the humanitarian chain—delivering food to those most in need—breaks down. With the UN agencies hampered by Sudan’s military and political dynamics, relief remains elusive for millions, underlining how war, more than nature, is driving this crisis.

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The international community, including key donors like the United States and the European Union, is now under pressure to act, but progress remains slow. Despite limited concessions, aid continues to be restricted, and humanitarian operations are mired in logistical and political obstacles. Until the world can circumvent these barriers, Sudan’s man-made famine will claim more lives, leaving millions trapped in a desperate struggle for survival.

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Ethiopia’s Digital System to Combat Corruption Signals Broader Reforms

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Ethiopia’s Deputy Prime Minister Temesgen Tiruneh inaugurated the National Corruption Crime Reporting Digital System (NCRS). Developed by the Federal Ethics and Anti-Corruption Commission in partnership with the Ethiopian Artificial Intelligence Institute, the NCRS aims to enhance governance by modernizing how corruption is reported and addressed.

This digital platform, designed to protect the confidentiality of whistleblowers, reflects the government’s broader agenda to confront corruption head-on—tackling not just corrupt practices but the underlying mindsets fueling them. For a nation grappling with systemic governance challenges, the introduction of this digital system symbolizes a push to modernize public institutions and restore public trust.

By placing corruption reporting in the hands of ordinary citizens, Ethiopia is making a decisive statement on accountability. It underscores how technology is reshaping the relationship between citizens and the state, offering a more secure way for individuals to speak out without fear of retaliation. The human impact of these reforms cannot be overstated—corruption, long a barrier to development, siphons resources meant for public goods, exacerbating inequality and fostering mistrust.

The NCRS also comes at a pivotal moment as Ethiopia continues to navigate complex political and economic landscapes. Efforts to root out corruption are part of a larger reform movement initiated by the government, which seeks to bolster institutional integrity and reduce bureaucratic inefficiency. Yet, while the digital system represents a forward-thinking approach, its success will ultimately depend on sustained political will, independent oversight, and a culture shift within Ethiopia’s public institutions.

Commissioner Samuel Urkato of the Federal Ethics and Anti-Corruption Commission emphasized that this new system is just one facet of a broader effort to cultivate an independent and robust anti-corruption framework. For many Ethiopians, the hope lies not just in technological advancements but in the promise of real accountability and tangible improvements in governance.

In the long run, Ethiopia’s commitment to confronting its governance challenges may serve as a model for other nations facing similar struggles with corruption. Yet the road ahead will require perseverance, transparency, and an unwavering focus on the people most affected by these systemic issues.

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Kenya asks IMF to Review Corruption Issues After Western Push

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Kenya has formally requested the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to carry out a detailed assessment of its governance and corruption issues, following pressure from Western nations. The country has faced increasing debt challenges and recently withdrew proposed tax hikes after widespread protests, complicating its efforts to secure a $600 million IMF disbursement.

The IMF’s “governance diagnostic” will examine how corruption may be affecting revenue and fiscal management, reflecting Kenya’s attempt to rebuild fiscal credibility.

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Analysts believe this move signals goodwill as the nation strives to stabilize its finances amidst public discontent over government inefficiency.

The assessment, while not directly tied to the financial disbursement, is seen as critical to strengthening Kenya’s governance framework and restoring investor confidence.

With public demonstrations in June driven by frustrations over perceived corruption, the review could also help address deep-rooted grievances about the country’s political and economic management. However, Kenya’s Ministry of Finance has yet to comment on the IMF’s role or the ongoing fiscal negotiations.

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