Middle East
Iran’s Shadow War: How Tehran and Hezbollah Enabled the Houthi Rise

A UN report uncovers how Iran’s Revolutionary Guard and Hezbollah transformed Yemen’s Houthi rebels into a regional military force, despite arms embargoes.
Iran’s invisible hand continues to reshape the dynamics of the Middle East, and nowhere is this more evident than in Yemen, where the once-limited Houthi rebels have evolved into a formidable military force. According to a damning United Nations report, the Houthis’ transformation is largely due to the extensive support of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Hezbollah, and Iraqi specialists. This revelation exposes the deeper implications of Tehran’s grander ambitions to dominate the region through proxy wars and asymmetric warfare, despite global attempts to curb its influence.
What began as a localized insurgency in Yemen has grown into a powerful, militarized faction, largely because of the sophisticated weapons and advanced military training provided by Iran and its allies. The Houthis, who now possess missile and drone capabilities, have launched repeated attacks on crucial Red Sea shipping lanes—disrupting global maritime trade and aligning themselves with Tehran’s broader agenda, including showing support for Palestinians amid the Gaza-Israel conflict.
The UN’s independent panel of experts revealed that Houthi fighters are receiving tactical and technical training far beyond Yemen’s borders. Using fake passports, they have been sent to Iran, Lebanon, and Iraq for advanced military instruction, a clear violation of the UN arms embargo imposed in 2015. This level of foreign involvement has enabled the Houthis to maintain complex weapons systems, which Yemeni officials and military experts insist they could not develop independently.
The report underscores the significance of Iran’s Axis of Resistance, a Tehran-backed network of armed groups opposed to U.S. and Israeli influence across the Middle East. Besides the Houthis, this axis includes Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas in Palestine, and various Iranian-backed militias in Iraq and Syria. Over the years, the IRGC-Quds Force, led by the late General Qassem Soleimani, has been pivotal in training and equipping these groups, creating a united front against Iran’s regional adversaries.
This external support has given the Houthis access to drones, missile technology, and financial backing, allowing them to operate as a quasi-state actor. The similarities between the weaponry operated by the Houthis and those used by other Axis of Resistance groups further point to Iranian influence.
Beyond the military buildup, the UN report raises alarms over new partnerships emerging in the shadows of this conflict. The Houthis have reportedly increased their cooperation with both Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) and Somalia’s Al-Shabaab, sharing smuggled weapons and coordinating attacks. This collaboration, between groups that are often at odds ideologically, suggests a new level of pragmatic extremism, driven by shared enemies and external support.
The use of fake passports by Houthi operatives has also been flagged as a growing concern. These documents are handed out to individuals tasked with procuring and transferring illicit goods, including weapons, or those traveling abroad for military training. The sophisticated nature of this operation demonstrates the logistical support and organization that external actors—namely Iran—are providing.
This revelation adds yet another layer of complexity to the geopolitical tensions across the Middle East. Tehran’s support for the Houthis not only disrupts the balance of power in Yemen but also heightens tensions with neighboring Saudi Arabia, which has led a coalition fighting the Houthis since 2015. Furthermore, the Houthis’ ability to target international shipping lanes with drones and missiles poses a direct threat to global trade, forcing companies to reroute their vessels and further destabilizing a region already on edge.
The UN report also touches on the delicate ceasefire between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis. While no formal peace agreement has been reached, the IRGC’s continued support for the Houthis threatens any progress towards lasting peace in Yemen.
Despite repeated denials from Tehran, the evidence speaks for itself. Iran has long denied supplying weapons to the Houthis, yet their fingerprints are all over the conflict. From sophisticated missile systems to military training camps in Iran and Lebanon, the support provided to the Houthis is undeniable. The silence from Iran on the UN report only reinforces what the global community has suspected for years: Iran’s covert war in Yemen is very real, and it is escalating.
The revelations from the UN report come at a critical juncture. The international community faces a choice: continue to allow Iran’s proxies to destabilize the region, or take stronger action to enforce the arms embargoes and disrupt these illicit networks. With the Houthis now entrenched as a regional military force, backed by the IRGC, the stakes for Yemen and its neighbors have never been higher.
As Iran extends its reach across the region, from Yemen to Lebanon, the global repercussions are already being felt. Whether the world can afford to ignore these escalating tensions is a question that will shape the future of the Middle East for years to come.
Analysis
Israel Outraged as Erdogan-Backed Sharaa Gains U.S. Recognition

Trump’s removal of Syria sanctions and embrace of ex-jihadist leader Ahmad al-Sharaa fuels tensions with Israel and Turkey, triggering warnings over proxy clashes and shifting Middle East alliances.
The tectonic plates of Middle East power politics just shifted, and Israel isn’t standing on solid ground.
In a stunning reversal of a decade-old U.S. stance, President Donald Trump has lifted sanctions on Syria and personally endorsed its new leader, Ahmad al-Sharaa—a former al-Qaeda commander turned regional player with backing from Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Trump praised Sharaa as a “tough, attractive guy” with a “real shot” at stabilizing Syria, triggering shockwaves in Jerusalem and raising alarms over an emerging anti-Israel alignment.
The move, announced during Trump’s visit to Riyadh, came after consultations with Erdogan and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Though marketed as a gesture toward Syrian “reconstruction,” it’s being read in Israel as something much more sinister: a strategic realignment that sidelines the Jewish state while legitimizing a man once known as Abu Mohammed al-Golani—the jihadi insurgent leader who once pledged allegiance to Al-Qaeda.
For Israel, the implications are chilling. In response, the IDF has escalated its presence in Syria’s southern regions, particularly the Syrian Hermon. Meanwhile, Israeli officials, including Consul General Ofir Akunis, are accusing Sharaa of continuing assaults on the Druze community—many of whom have family ties to Israel. “He’s no moderate,” Akunis warned. “He’s the same terrorist, now wearing a suit.”
Yet Trump isn’t backing down. Not only did he reject Netanyahu’s appeal to maintain sanctions, he doubled down by offering to mediate between Israel and Turkey—despite Erdogan’s explicit threats against Israel and his alignment with Syrian rebels. Erdogan’s declaration that Turkey will “prevent threats to Syria’s unity” is being interpreted in Tel Aviv as code for deeper Turkish military involvement, with implicit permission from Washington.
The result? An uneasy Israeli-American divide. While the White House insists that Trump remains “Israel’s best friend,” his actions are telling a different story: direct negotiations with Hamas, a softening on Iran, and now a rehabilitation of one of the most controversial figures in the Syrian war.
As the geopolitical map is redrawn—with Turkey, Syria, and possibly Qatar forming a new triangle of power—Israel is watching allies make moves without it. And Netanyahu, once Trump’s closest ally, is now left fending off what he sees as an American-enabled encroachment on Israel’s red lines.
Whether this is strategic brilliance or reckless abandonment depends on who you ask. But for Israel, the warning is clear: the Trump-Erdogan-Sharaa axis is rising—and Jerusalem may be the odd one out.
Middle East
Syria: Al-Sharaa’s Bahrain Visit Signals Soft Power Comeback

In a striking departure from years of diplomatic isolation, Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa’s official visit to Bahrain marks yet another calculated move in Damascus’s new regional strategy—a bid not only to rehabilitate Syria’s image but to reassert its presence in Arab power circles. Greeted at Sakhir Air Base by high-level Bahraini officials, al-Sharaa’s arrival in Manama is less about bilateral ties and more about regional signaling: Syria is back, and it’s negotiating its return on its own terms.
Al-Sharaa’s visit is the latest stop in a Gulf tour that has taken him to Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and Jordan—states once united in their efforts to topple his predecessor, Bashar al-Assad. Today, the tone has shifted. Al-Sharaa, just months into his presidency, is projecting a posture of diplomacy over defiance. The agenda? Regional legitimacy, economic reintegration, and reconstruction financing—priorities he knows require Gulf acceptance.
Bahrain, while not the heaviest hitter in the GCC, plays a symbolic role. It reopened its embassy in Damascus as early as 2018 and is closely aligned with Riyadh and Abu Dhabi. In many ways, Bahrain is the perfect barometer of how the region is warming up to Syria again. Al-Sharaa’s visit there isn’t just protocol—it’s a quiet endorsement from the Saudi-Emirati bloc, and a signal to others that normalizing ties with Syria is no longer taboo.
But the trip also comes with larger ambitions. Just days before, al-Sharaa made headlines in Paris after a rare and highly symbolic meeting with French President Emmanuel Macron. Though European sanctions remain in place, the very fact that a European leader engaged publicly with Syria’s new head of state suggests that the diplomatic ice may be starting to thaw. The al-Sharaa government is clearly pursuing a parallel track: one for Arab reintegration, another aimed at gradually softening the West’s stance.
According to Lebanese analyst Nidal Abdullah, al-Sharaa is positioning Syria not only as a reformed actor but as a potential Gulf-Iran intermediary—a subtle shift that aligns with growing interest in regional detente. “Syria may emerge as a go-between,” Abdullah noted, “particularly as the Gulf weighs its future ties with Iran.”
In that context, the Bahrain visit is no sideshow. It is part of Syria’s soft diplomacy doctrine—resetting the regional narrative from pariah to pragmatic partner. Whether this strategy yields long-term dividends remains to be seen. But with each Gulf handshake, Syria’s return to the Arab fold inches closer to reality.
The message from Damascus is clear: Syria is no longer pleading for reintegration. It is asserting its role, brokering relevance, and leveraging diplomacy as a tool for reconstruction and legitimacy. In a region reshaping itself post-conflict, Syria isn’t just rejoining the table—it’s looking to host it.
Middle East
Exposed: Suspected Nuclear Weapons Facility Unmasked

Satellite imagery reveals a secret Iranian site allegedly linked to nuclear warhead development. Tehran claims it’s chemical. Washington delays talks as tritium, enrichment, and missiles stall progress.
Satellite images, tritium claims, and uranium disputes threaten to derail fragile US-Iran nuclear talks — all eyes now on Iran’s mysterious “Rainbow Site.”
A nuclear storm is brewing again—this time, from the shadows of Iran’s Semnan Province.
New satellite imagery and intelligence leaked to Fox News and Iran International reveal what may be one of Tehran’s best-kept secrets: a facility the Iranian opposition calls the “Rainbow Site”—a codename that, according to the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), has long concealed one purpose: nuclear warhead development.
Iran claims it’s a chemical plant. But that claim collapses under scrutiny. The NCRI alleges the facility is tied to tritium production—a radioactive substance with no peaceful use, but crucial for boosting the destructive power of a nuclear weapon. If verified, this would mark a significant shift from uranium-based programs to direct weapons-grade activity.
Tritium doesn’t power reactors. It powers warheads.
The revelation has already shaken the fragile framework of the ongoing nuclear negotiations between Tehran and Washington. Two Iranian diplomats, speaking anonymously, confirmed that last week’s planned round of talks in Oman was quietly delayed—blaming not only the Rainbow Site uproar but mounting disputes over uranium enrichment levels and Iran’s regional activities.
“The U.S. wants full control over uranium enrichment levels,” one diplomat said. “Iran refuses to give that up.” Another added, “Each round of talks is unstructured—nothing sticks. New conditions are added each time.”
Sources say the U.S. is also pressing Iran to freeze its regional proxies, particularly the Houthis, Hezbollah, and militias in Iraq and Syria. In response, Iran is reportedly signaling a temporary hold on these groups to avoid giving Israel a pretext for preemptive military strikes.
But Israel may not wait.
Senior IDF officials have long warned that Iran’s secret facilities, especially those buried deep and disguised as civilian sites, represent a red line. The Rainbow Site revelation—if verified—could push that red line into action.
With no breakthrough on the nuclear table, the world faces a stark possibility: diplomacy cracking under the weight of deception, delay, and radioactive ambition.
Middle East
Netanyahu to Qatar: Choose Civilization Over Hamas Barbarism

In a statement posted on his official X account Saturday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu intensified his rhetoric against Qatar, accusing the Gulf nation of “playing both sides” in the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas. He challenged Doha to make a definitive choice: “decide if it’s on the side of civilization or if it’s on the side of Hamas barbarism.”
This direct rebuke came in response to Qatar’s condemnation of an alleged Israeli naval strike on a humanitarian vessel from the Freedom Flotilla coalition near Malta, and attacks on Gaza’s fishing boats. Doha called the actions violations of international law, heightening the diplomatic rift between the two countries.
Netanyahu’s remarks underscore a growing Israeli frustration with Qatar’s dual role as both mediator in ceasefire negotiations and, allegedly, a silent supporter of Hamas. While Qatar has helped broker temporary truces and facilitated hostage releases, Israeli officials suspect the Gulf state of providing Hamas with political and financial cover.
Fueling this suspicion is the explosive “Qatargate” scandal unfolding in Israel, where two close Netanyahu aides, Jonatan Urich and Eli Feldstein, were arrested on charges of receiving illicit funds from Qatar. According to reports, the payments were funneled through an American lobbyist and aimed at boosting Qatar’s standing in Israel while discrediting Egypt’s competing mediation efforts. Netanyahu has dismissed the investigation as politically motivated.
Further stoking tensions is Israel’s accusation that Qatar promotes anti-Israel sentiment across Western academic institutions and media platforms through strategic funding campaigns.
Qatar, meanwhile, defends its position as a humanitarian actor striving for regional stability. Its Foreign Ministry rebuffed Netanyahu’s assertions, reiterating Doha’s commitment to ceasefire efforts and humanitarian aid.
As the war in Gaza grinds on, Netanyahu’s latest message marks a turning point in Israel’s diplomatic approach to Qatar. The public ultimatum suggests that Israel may begin to treat Qatar not as a neutral broker but as a party complicit in Hamas’s campaign.
With “Qatargate” under investigation and regional trust deteriorating, the next moves from Doha and Tel Aviv could redefine Middle Eastern power alignments and the credibility of future mediation efforts.
Middle East
Katz: If Trump Won’t Stop Iran, Israel Will

As Trump rushes to revive a nuclear deal with Tehran, Israel warns it’s prepared to strike alone.
With Donald Trump racing toward a controversial nuclear deal with Iran, Israel’s Defense Minister Israel Katz made one thing crystal clear: If Washington won’t act, Tel Aviv will.
Speaking to the Israeli military high command, Katz declared, “Israel will not allow Iran to get a nuclear weapon… and if there is a need to act — there is someone who will do it.”
The message wasn’t subtle. It was a warning to both Tehran and Washington: Israel is preparing to strike. Deal or no deal.
Trump’s Gamble — A Deal at Any Cost?
Despite his history of bluster about “bombing Iran,” President Trump is now edging toward a deeply contested nuclear agreement. Insiders in Jerusalem say the deal will likely leave Iran’s uranium enrichment capability intact — the same infrastructure Israel believes is central to Tehran’s ambitions to build a bomb.
This isn’t just another round of diplomacy — it’s a race against the bomb.
According to Israeli sources, Trump wants a “win” before his reelection campaign fully ignites. That “win” may come at Israel’s expense.
Israel’s Red Line: A Point of No Return
Since Israeli jets eliminated Iran’s S-300 air defense system in October, Israeli officials say the path to a successful strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities has never been more open.
But time is short.
With Trump’s deadline to close the Iran deal looming, Israeli officials fear the window for action is narrowing fast — and that a bad deal could tie Israel’s hands just long enough for Iran to finish what it started.
Strategic Isolation or Strategic Clarity?
Behind the scenes, Israeli diplomats are pressing hard in Washington. But sources say Trump’s inner circle is increasingly committed to avoiding war at all costs, even if that means kicking the can down the road and trusting Iran’s word — again.
Katz’s public threat wasn’t just rhetoric. It was a signal.
Israel may be preparing to strike without U.S. coordination.
And if that happens, the entire Middle East could ignite — but Tel Aviv is calculating that it’s a risk worth taking.
As one Israeli source put it: “If we wait for the Americans to act, Iran will win. It’s that simple.”
Middle East
The Iran Leak that Shook Israel’s Security State

Did Netanyahu just leak Israel’s war plans to save his image? Netanyahu under fire after NYT bombshell reveals Israeli plans to strike Iran; officials call it “one of the most dangerous leaks in Israel’s history.”
A crisis is unfolding in Israel—not just over Iran’s nuclear threat, but over a leak that’s ignited a political firestorm in Jerusalem. A senior Israeli official has told The Jerusalem Post that the recent New York Times report detailing Israeli plans to strike Iran’s nuclear program with US support is “one of the most dangerous leaks in Israel’s history.”
This isn’t just about national security. It’s about political survival.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu now finds himself at the center of a storm, with multiple Israeli politicians accusing him of deliberately leaking the classified operation details to shield himself from political fallout. His critics argue that the leak served as a distraction—a calculated maneuver to silence accusations that he talks tough on Iran but fails to deliver decisive military action.
Former defense minister Avigdor Lieberman didn’t hold back, tweeting: “How lucky we were that Netanyahu wasn’t prime minister when we bombed the nuclear reactors in Syria and Iraq.” His point? Past leaders acted. Netanyahu, critics say, leaks.
The revelation that Israel seriously weighed a joint strike with the US against Iran’s nuclear facilities—one that could have started a regional war—has sent shockwaves across both the intelligence and military communities. Not only was the IDF reportedly prepared to carry out the operation, but the entire strategy was contingent on US approval, which Trump ultimately denied in favor of diplomatic talks.
Now the damage is twofold: Iran has been tipped off, and Israel’s deterrence narrative has taken a hit.
While Netanyahu continues to claim that Iran will never be allowed to go nuclear on his watch, the Israeli public and global observers are left wondering: Did he just sabotage one of the most sensitive defense strategies of the decade—for the sake of headlines?
This leak doesn’t just threaten operational secrecy. It weakens trust within Israel’s security establishment, sends mixed signals to Tehran, and erodes confidence among US allies. In the end, the greatest threat to Israeli security might not come from Iranian centrifuges—but from within Israel’s own political machinery.
Middle East
Strike Now, Regret Later? Bombing Iran Could Backfire, Say Experts

Military attacks on Iran’s nuclear sites may delay— but not destroy— its nuclear ambitions, and could accelerate the race to a bomb.
As B-2 bombers line up on Diego Garcia and Israeli jets rehearse for deep-penetration strikes, a sobering truth cuts through the war drums: blowing up Iran’s nuclear sites may be more symbolic than strategic.
A series of US-Israeli strikes might succeed in reducing Natanz and Fordow to rubble. But military and nuclear analysts across the spectrum agree—the real war is in knowledge, not infrastructure. And Iran has already passed the threshold of nuclear competence.
“This would buy you time—months, maybe a couple years—but at the cost of radicalizing Iran’s entire posture,” said Justin Bronk of the Royal United Services Institute. If Iran is attacked, the first casualty will be IAEA inspectors. The second? Any chance of international verification or diplomacy.
Make no mistake, bunker-busting strikes would deal real damage. But as retired USAF General Charles Wald bluntly put it, even the best Israeli efforts would fall short without US firepower—“They don’t have enough 5,000 pounders.” Only the US, with its 30,000-lb Massive Ordnance Penetrators dropped from B-2s, can even dream of collapsing Fordow.
But even if those strikes succeed, what happens after the dust settles?
That’s where the strategic calculus flips. Iran could kick out inspectors, abandon the NPT, and fast-track a weapon—citing national defense. This is the North Korea scenario, replayed in Persian. And history tells us it’s nearly impossible to stop a determined regime once it crosses that line.
In short: without regime change or military occupation—both highly unrealistic—airstrikes are a short-term fix for a long-term threat. Worse, they may create the very nuclear-armed Iran the West fears most.
Trump may still have one eye on the negotiations, but if they fail, the question will no longer be if Israel and the US act—but whether the fallout can be contained.
Middle East
Trump’s Red Line on Iran: No Nukes, But Yes to Enrichment? Israel Calls Foul

Trump envoy proposes 3.67% uranium cap for Iran—far short of Netanyahu’s demand to demolish Iran’s nuclear threat.
Iran can enrich uranium—but only to 3.67%. That’s the Trump White House’s new line. And Israel is fuming.
Speaking to Fox News, Trump’s special nuclear envoy Steve Witkoff confirmed what many feared: the U.S. is open to a civilian nuclear program in Iran. That includes enrichment—just not beyond 3.67%. For context, weapons-grade uranium begins at 90% enrichment. But critics argue even civilian levels keep Iran just a political decision away from breakout capability.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu isn’t buying it. His vision? The Libya model—total dismantlement, zero centrifuges, and military sites destroyed under American watch.
“If it’s not Libya-style, it’s not a deal,” Netanyahu reportedly told Trump during their recent White House meeting. Inside sources say Trump’s plan smells a lot like the Obama-era JCPOA, just with new lipstick and softer wording.
Mark Dubowitz of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies didn’t mince words:
“Did we walk away in 2018 just to return to the same broken framework in 2025?”
Meanwhile, Iran’s response? Flat rejection. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps declared any discussion of missile or armament oversight a “red line.” Tehran also refuses to ship its enriched stockpile abroad, instead offering IAEA-supervised storage on Iranian soil—which critics call meaningless.
As the next round of talks looms in Oman, and the IAEA chief Rafael Grossi heads to Tehran, one thing is clear: Iran’s nuclear clock isn’t just ticking—it’s accelerating.
Trump may think a diplomatic victory is within reach. But without dismantling centrifuges and cutting Iran’s breakout time to zero, the regime’s path to a bomb remains wide open.
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