ASSESSMENTS
Trump’s Tariff Whiplash: China Faces 125% Blow as World Gets 90-Day Reprieve

As Trump slaps brutal tariffs on China, the rest of the world gets a temporary pause—but chaos reigns and trust in U.S. trade policy crumbles.
Trump shocks markets by pausing global tariffs for 90 days—except for China, which now faces a staggering 125% levy. Analysts warn the erratic trade policy leaves allies reeling and the global economy on edge.
The White House hit the brakes on a global trade war—then floored the gas pedal straight into Beijing. President Trump’s chaotic tariff reversal spared most of the world with a 90-day reprieve, but not China, which now faces a backbreaking 125% tariff wall. The message? If you’re not with me, you’re the enemy—and right now, China is public enemy number one.
Trump’s dramatic pivot came after days of financial panic and political pressure. Market freefall, corporate uproar, and Republican warnings of economic ruin finally forced his hand. “People were getting a little yippy,” he said with a smirk, trying to spin his backtrack as master-level negotiation. But the reality is far messier—and far more dangerous.
This is no trade strategy. It’s power politics laced with economic roulette. Trump spared Europe, Japan, and South Korea from immediate punishment, but kept a 10% “reciprocal” tariff in place while threatening worse. China, however, got the full blast. Their counter-tariffs—already at 84%—will now hit back hard, especially with the U.S. showing no signs of stepping down.
Beijing responded with fury, slapping restrictions on 18 U.S. defense firms and ramping up its rhetoric. EU states, meanwhile, voted to hit back with €21 billion in countermeasures. But for Trump, it’s all part of the “art of the deal,” where chaos is leverage and uncertainty is a feature—not a bug.
Even his own trade officials were blindsided. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emerged as the architect of the China-first pressure campaign, leaving U.S. Trade Rep Jamieson Greer scrambling mid-hearing. This isn’t just dysfunction—it’s proof that America’s trade policy is being typed out in real time, tweet by tweet, from the Oval Office.
Trump’s unpredictability is now the most predictable feature of global economics. Allies no longer trust U.S. commitments. Markets react not to policy, but to presidential mood swings. And China—targeted, cornered, and now furious—has little incentive to cooperate.
In this game of economic brinkmanship, Trump may call it leverage. But for the rest of the world, it looks like self-inflicted chaos—and China may not blink.
ASSESSMENTS
Rwanda’s Dark Bargain with Trump’s America

Talks between Rwanda and the Trump administration expose a dangerous global market for unwanted migrants—at the expense of human rights.
There’s a new kind of migration deal in the making—one not built on compassion or legality, but on dollars and geopolitical desperation. Rwanda has confirmed it is negotiating with the United States to accept deported migrants, including those with criminal records, in exchange for financial support and promises of reintegration.
Foreign Minister Olivier Nduhungirehe admits the talks are “ongoing” but “still in the early stages.” For anyone who followed Rwanda’s now-defunct UK deportation deal, this new alignment with Donald Trump’s America feels eerily familiar—and deeply dangerous.
Trump’s goal is as blunt as his language: to send what he called “some of the most despicable human beings” as far from the U.S. as possible—“so they can’t come back.” And Rwanda, again, is emerging as a willing participant in this offshore outsourcing of America’s moral crisis.
This isn’t just about immigration. It’s about money for silence, cash for complicity. It’s about Rwanda’s eagerness to fill the void left by Britain’s collapse of moral clarity after the Supreme Court struck down its migrant plan as illegal. And it’s about a regime in Kigali that sees foreign human cargo as a currency.
Rwanda insists it can safely integrate these deportees. But the UN refugee agency has warned—repeatedly—that migrants could be re-exposed to the same dangers they once fled, including torture or even death. Kigali’s response? Accusing the UN of lying.
What makes this deal more sinister is that Trump is reportedly also pushing for similar arrangements with Libya—yes, Libya, the country where migrants are regularly sold at slave markets. Rwanda’s participation risks normalizing a global deportation racket where human rights are auctioned off to the highest authoritarian bidder.
And the irony? Rwanda is still demanding $66 million from the UK over the canceled deportation deal, a grotesque reminder that in this game, people are the product—and governments the brokers.
If Rwanda agrees to this deal, it won’t just be receiving deportees. It’ll be accepting a future built on outsourced trauma and transactional ethics. The Trump administration has made its intentions clear. What remains to be seen is whether Rwanda will once again sell its dignity for the right price.
Welcome to the deportation economy. Where the unwanted are warehoused, and shame is negotiable.
ASSESSMENTS
Somalia and U.S. Forge Closer Combat Alliance to Crush Al-Shabaab

Somali President and U.S. AFRICOM Chief accelerate joint counterterrorism push, eye decisive blow to Al-Shabaab insurgency.
The war against Al-Shabaab is entering a new, sharper phase—and the U.S. is doubling down. In a high-level meeting held in Mogadishu, Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud and General Michael E. Langley, head of U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM), sealed what insiders are calling a renewed strategic combat pact to fast-track the elimination of Somalia’s deadliest insurgency.
With airstrikes intensifying and Somali ground operations expanding, the timing of this visit signals urgency. President Hassan emphasized that Somalia cannot afford to move at a bureaucratic pace. “Acceleration” is the new doctrine—faster raids, faster intelligence flow, and faster liberation of Al-Shabaab-held zones.
Meanwhile, behind closed doors, Somalia’s Defense Minister Ahmed Fiqi, Army Chief Gen. Odawaa Yusuf Raage, and U.S. Ambassador Richard H. Riley convened with AFRICOM officials to map out a fresh joint blueprint. The objective: dismantle both Al-Shabaab and ISIS factions before they mutate into another regional menace like Boko Haram.
From air support to on-the-ground coordination, AFRICOM’s role is becoming more embedded. Sources close to the talks confirmed an emphasis on real-time intelligence sharing, advanced military training, and high-impact strikes aimed at crippling the terror group’s leadership and logistics.
Minister Fiqi, in his address, openly praised the U.S. for its crucial role in restoring security and hope to war-torn communities, noting how U.S.-backed missions have re-liberated territory once considered lost.
But the stakes go beyond Somalia. With Ethiopia fragile, Sudan fractured, and Yemen in flux, the Horn of Africa risks slipping into a terrorist corridor. What Mogadishu and Washington are forging today could be the firewall tomorrow.
Bottom line: The U.S.-Somalia alliance is no longer advisory—it’s operational.
AFRICOM is not just watching Somalia’s war. It’s fighting it, shoulder to shoulder. The next 90 days will reveal whether this recalibrated campaign delivers the blow Al-Shabaab fears most: extinction.
ASSESSMENTS
Israel Confronts New Realities Amid U.S.-Houthi Ceasefire

Trump’s Unilateral Deal with Houthis Challenges U.S.-Israel Alliance
President Donald Trump’s unexpected announcement of a ceasefire with Yemen’s Houthi rebels has sent shockwaves through the Israeli political and military establishment. The agreement, brokered without prior consultation with Israel, has raised concerns about the reliability of the U.S.-Israel alliance and the implications for regional security.
The Houthi rebels, backed by Iran, have been a persistent threat in the Middle East, targeting shipping lanes in the Red Sea and launching missile attacks against Israel. In response, the U.S. initiated a bombing campaign in March 2025, aiming to neutralize the Houthi threat to international maritime trade and regional stability. However, the sudden cessation of U.S. airstrikes, following the Houthis’ pledge to halt attacks on American vessels, has left Israel exposed to continued aggression from the group.
The unilateral nature of the U.S.-Houthi ceasefire, without Israeli input, underscores a shift in U.S. foreign policy priorities under the “America First” doctrine. By focusing on protecting American interests, particularly the security of maritime trade routes, the U.S. has effectively sidelined Israeli security concerns. This move has emboldened the Houthis, who have stated their intention to continue attacks on Israel, viewing the U.S. withdrawal as a strategic victory .
For Israel, this development necessitates a reassessment of its defense strategy. Relying solely on U.S. support may no longer be viable, prompting Israel to consider independent military actions against the Houthis and other Iranian proxies in the region. Furthermore, the lack of U.S. consultation raises questions about the future of intelligence sharing and joint operations between the two allies.
The broader regional implications are significant. The U.S. decision may signal to other Iranian-backed groups that sustained aggression can lead to favorable outcomes, potentially destabilizing the Middle East further. Additionally, the move could strain U.S. relations with other allies who perceive a diminishing American commitment to collective security.
Israel must adapt to the evolving geopolitical landscape by enhancing its strategic autonomy. This includes bolstering its military capabilities, strengthening regional alliances, and developing a comprehensive strategy to counter Iranian influence. While the U.S. remains a critical partner, Israel’s security cannot be contingent on external decisions that may not align with its national interests.
ASSESSMENTS
Here’s the Document: BLOCK Somalia Peacekeeping Funds

US Senate Bill Seeks to Restrict UN Funding for African Union Mission in Somalia
New Senate bill targets Somalia, demands UN stop burning U.S. taxpayer cash on missions linked to corruption, failure, and alleged terror collusion.
[doc id=12536]
In a political grenade aimed straight at Mogadishu, three powerful Republican senators have introduced a bill to choke off U.S. taxpayer dollars funding the African Union’s floundering peacekeeping mission in Somalia. The “AUSSOM Funding Restriction Act of 2025” is not just about budget cuts — it’s a warning shot that America is done bankrolling chaos disguised as diplomacy.
Senators Jim Risch, Ted Cruz, and Rick Scott say enough is enough. The bill seeks to prohibit the use of U.S. UN contributions to support the AUSSOM mission, a direct successor to the failed AMISOM and ATMIS operations. Those efforts, costing billions over the last two decades, have done little to uproot al-Shabaab — a group that many believe maintains quiet handshakes with the same Somali officials begging for more aid.
The bill, which targets the UN Security Council’s Resolution 2719, demands real accountability: no more rubber-stamped funding for missions with no oversight, no enforcement of human rights conditions, and no track record of civilian protection. It also instructs the U.S. Ambassador to the UN to veto any resolution attempting to sneak in funding for Somalia under the radar.
But here’s where the drama peaks. This isn’t just about cash — it’s about exposing a systemic failure. While U.S. forces bomb al-Shabaab targets, UN money — with American fingerprints all over it — floods into a broken Somali security sector plagued by corruption and infiltration.
Let’s be blunt: U.S. senators are accusing Somalia and its allies of using AUSSOM as a cover to keep the aid pipeline open, all while allegedly playing footsie with terror networks.
The bill carves out exceptions for purely humanitarian missions and U.S. staff oversight but otherwise cuts deep. It demands independent reports from the Secretary of State on AUSSOM’s effectiveness, compliance with Resolution 2719, and how much more of this circus the American people are expected to tolerate.
“This is not foreign aid — this is a fraud aid,” one U.S. official told WARYATV anonymously. “The Somali government has shown zero progress, and now they want more U.S. funding while destabilizing their own country.”
The U.S. Senate is done writing blank checks to Somalia. With this bill, Washington is telling the UN: fund your own failures — or fix them.
ASSESSMENTS
Somalia’s President Fabricates Anti-Terror Efforts to Solicit International Aid

In a recent interview with Asharq Al-Awsat, Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud claimed significant victories against terrorist groups in the Al Miskaad and Golis mountains, asserting that Somali forces had achieved “important successes” in these regions. However, evidence suggests that these operations have been primarily conducted by Puntland’s regional forces, not the federal government.
President Mohamud’s statements appear to overstate the federal government’s role in counter-terrorism efforts, potentially to attract international support and funding. He further alleged a collaborative threat from Al-Shabaab, ISIS, and Yemen’s Houthi rebels, citing intercepted shipments of explosives and drones from Yemen to Somalia. While there have been reports of such interceptions, the extent of coordination among these groups remains unverified Asharq Al-Awsa
Critics argue that President Mohamud’s narrative serves to amplify perceived threats, thereby justifying increased foreign aid and military assistance. This strategy raises concerns about the accuracy of information disseminated by the Somali government and its implications for international policy and aid distribution.
The international community is urged to critically assess the Somali government’s claims and ensure that support is based on verified information and effective counter-terrorism strategies.
ASSESSMENTS
The Somali Parliament Circus That Exposes a Failed State

While Somalia’s lower house descends into chaos, the Speaker of Parliament, Sheikh Aden Mohamed Nur Madoobe, boards a flight to Algeria, hoping to lecture the Arab world about “regional cooperation” and “political challenges.” The irony could not be more grotesque.
In a week when rival Somali MPs physically clashed on the floor of parliament, and 20 lawmakers were banned for opposing the Speaker’s dictatorial overreach, Madoobe chose escape over accountability. His excuse? “Security concerns” and “parliamentary order.” His real mission? International self-legitimization at the expense of a crumbling democratic facade back home.
This is not governance. It is theater.
The expulsion of MP Abdullahi Hashi Abiib for missing two sessions—yes, just two sessions—set the stage for this parliamentary meltdown. Critics rightly call it a politically motivated move. In any functioning legislature, absenteeism is managed with ethics committees and transparency—not autocratic purges. But Somalia’s parliament has become a rubber stamp for executive manipulation, driven by fear and factionalism.
The Speaker now plays judge, jury, and executioner. His directive to suspend 20 MPs, many of whom are vocal critics of the administration, is nothing short of a political cleansing. This authoritarian behavior, dressed up in “procedural enforcement,” is a mask for the erosion of Somali democratic norms—what little there were to begin with.
And while Somalia implodes, its National Consultative Council (NCC) meetings are repeatedly postponed, sidelined by the absence of key regional states like Puntland and Jubbaland. With no electoral roadmap, no federal cohesion, and a parliament in self-destruction mode, Somalia remains a donor-dependent shell of a state.
The world needs to ask: How long can this charade go on?
Compare this with Somaliland. Despite international neglect and lack of formal recognition, Somaliland has conducted multiple peaceful elections, maintains relative internal security, and continues to foster genuine democratic processes. Its parliament debates laws, not fists. Its leaders don’t flee to foreign conferences during national crises.
Somalia’s elite are not just corrupt. They are complicit in the destruction of any hope for a functioning state. As the West continues to prop up Mogadishu with blind aid and diplomatic recognition, it is rewarding failure and punishing resilience. It is time to stop the delusion.
Let this be a wake-up call. The problem isn’t just Somalia’s dysfunction. It’s the international community’s willingness to ignore it—and sideline Somaliland, the one Somali-led democracy that actually works.
ASSESSMENTS
Gunfire in the Gulf: Bulk Carrier Ambushed off Yemen’s Coast

High seas alert as armed boats pursue merchant ship near Aden, reigniting piracy fears and exposing regional maritime chaos.
A merchant bulk carrier is chased by armed boats near Yemen in a dramatic 2-hour incident, reigniting fears of piracy and Houthi insurgency in the Gulf of Aden.
A quiet shipping lane turned into a maritime standoff Tuesday evening when a bulk carrier traversing the Gulf of Aden was pursued for nearly two hours by multiple small, armed boats—an alarming sign that the waters off Yemen are once again boiling with threats.
UKMTO confirmed the incident occurred 100 nautical miles east of Aden, with gunfire reported and the vessel forced into evasive maneuvers toward the Yemeni coastline. Though no casualties were reported and the ship managed to continue its course, the confrontation has set off security alarms across the maritime world.
Who were these armed men? That’s the burning question. While some suspect traditional piracy, analysts at Neptune P2P Group argue the tactics were uncharacteristic—suggesting a more dangerous twist. Could this be a dry run for Houthi-aligned maritime militia? Or a rogue coastal faction flexing its muscle?
The Houthis, fresh off a ceasefire hiatus tied to Gaza, have recently threatened to resume attacks on shipping—especially those with Israeli links. While they’ve stayed silent about this specific incident, the implications are ominous.
What’s certain is this: piracy in the Gulf of Aden never truly died. The brief calm following the 2023 resurgence now seems like a prelude to a new wave of asymmetric sea warfare. The EU’s extension of Operation Atalanta through 2027 suddenly looks like a prophetic move.
And the danger isn’t isolated. From Somali pirates re-emerging to Houthi threats and rogue militias in war-torn Yemen, the Gulf of Aden is becoming a maritime minefield—one gunboat away from full-scale chaos.
The next incident may not end with a safe escape—but a ship taken hostage.
ASSESSMENTS
HOUTHIS SURROUNDED! UAE Deploys Israeli Radar from Somalia – 80,000 Troops Gear Up for Ground

No Gaza Peace. No Ceasefire. US, Israel & Gulf Forces Push Yemen Toward Full-Blown War – From Gaza to Hodeida, the battlefield expands. Somalia’s soil becomes launchpad for a regional war.
UAE deploys Israeli-made radar from Somalia to monitor Houthi threats. 80,000 Yemeni troops prep to storm Hodeida. US-Israel forces expand strikes from Gaza to Yemen.
Somalia is now a launchpad for a new regional war.
The war machine is humming, and Somalia has just become the quiet epicenter of a new multi-front war that stretches from Gaza to the Gulf of Aden.
In Puntland’s Bosaso, the UAE has secretly activated an Israeli-made ELM-2084 radar system—originally designed to counter missile and drone threats to Israel. But now, it’s scanning Yemeni skies for Houthi threats. It’s more than surveillance—it’s a sign that Somali soil is being militarized for a larger geopolitical showdown.
The real trigger? Yemen. The internationally recognized Yemeni government is mobilizing 80,000 troops for what could be the largest ground offensive of the decade—to take back Hodeida from Houthi control. At the same time, US Air Force C-17s have been dumping military cargo in Qatar, while B-2 bombers at Diego Garcia are being armed.
All signs point to a wider regional war.
As the USS Carl Vinson’s F-35C jets conduct missions off Oman and Israeli special forces use Bosaso as a covert hub, it’s clear: this is not a Yemen-only war—it’s an Israeli-American-Emirati counteroffensive that stretches from Tehran to the Tihama coast.
And what about Gaza? Israel has flat-out refused to include any clause in a potential Hamas ceasefire to withdraw from the Strip. The IDF continues “surgical strikes,” ambushes intensify, and yet no political breakthrough is in sight.
Erdogan rattles sabers, threatening a “NATO-level” response and demanding EU access. Meanwhile, Hezbollah tensions in Lebanon are flaring, and Houthi drones keep raining down on southern Israel—with little warning.
The battlefield is now a full crescent—from Las Anod’s radar domes to Gaza’s underground war rooms, and from the skies over Sanaa to the waters of the Red Sea.
This is no longer about ceasefires. This is escalation by design.
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