Russia-Ukraine War
Putin’s Peace Terms: Donbas, NATO Freeze, and a Red Line on Western Troops
Vladimir Putin is pressing for a deal that would force Ukraine to surrender its eastern Donbas region, abandon its NATO ambitions, and block any Western troops from setting foot on its soil, according to three sources familiar with top-level Kremlin discussions.
The Russian president’s demands, relayed after his three-hour summit with Donald Trump in Anchorage, Alaska, represent Moscow’s most detailed outline yet of what it considers a path to ending the war. In essence: Ukraine exits the Donbas, Russia halts further advances in Zaporizhzhia and Kherson, and Kyiv accepts neutrality backed by guarantees that NATO won’t expand eastward.
The offer marks a shift. Just last year, Putin insisted Ukraine cede all of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia. Now, sources say, he is prepared to hold existing lines in the south, while returning small pockets of Kharkiv, Sumy, and Dnipropetrovsk still under Russian control. But the Kremlin remains adamant that Ukraine must fully quit the Donbas, where Russia already occupies roughly 88% of the territory.
Kyiv is unmoved. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has made clear Ukraine will not surrender internationally recognized land or shelve its NATO bid, which is enshrined in its constitution. “If we’re talking about simply withdrawing from the east, we cannot do that,” he said Thursday. “It is a matter of survival.”
Trump, for his part, emerged from the summit pitching himself as peacemaker-in-chief. “I believe Vladimir Putin wants to see it ended,” he said beside Zelenskyy at the White House days later, pledging to arrange a direct Putin-Zelenskyy meeting followed by a trilateral summit with Washington.
But European leaders remain skeptical. London, Paris, and Berlin have all voiced doubts that Putin’s “compromise” amounts to anything more than buying time while entrenching Russian control. RAND’s Samuel Charap calls the Donbas demand a “non-starter” and warns the outreach may be more performance than peace.
Still, Moscow’s messaging has shifted: Russia wants neutrality locked in, NATO’s eastern door sealed, Western troops barred, and Ukraine’s army capped. In return, it hints at halting its advances. “Putin is ready for compromise,” one source told Reuters. “That is the message that was conveyed to Trump.”
Whether this is genuine flexibility or tactical theater may soon be tested. Trump’s envoy, Steve Witkoff, has been laying groundwork for further talks, and Moscow has floated formats ranging from a three-way U.S.-Russia-Ukraine pact to resurrecting the Istanbul neutrality deal of 2022.
Yet the choice remains stark. As one Kremlin insider put it: “There are two choices: war or peace, and if there is no peace, then there is more war.”
Russia-Ukraine War
Ukrainian Operator Exposes the Brutal Limits of High-Tech War
Ukrainian Drone Operator Says Weather, Manpower Shortages and Artillery Gaps Expose Limits of Drone Warfare.
From the skies above Pokrovsk, one of Ukraine’s fiercest battlefields, drone operator Sgt. Dimko Zhluktenko has seen the future of war — and its hard limits.
Zhluktenko, a former software engineer turned ISR drone team leader, says drones have transformed Ukraine’s defense, but they cannot stop Russia’s advance on their own. His experience near Pokrovsk in 2025 reveals a sobering truth: technology buys time, not victory.
For much of the summer, drones dominated the battlefield. Tanks became rare sights. Russian movements were exposed before they reached Ukrainian lines. But when autumn arrived, thick fog and low cloud cover shut down the skies. Infrared and thermal cameras became useless. Flights were grounded for days. Russia adapted quickly, advancing under cloud cover with infantry and vehicles, exploiting weather as a weapon.
The result was predictable — and devastating.
Russia’s strategy, Zhluktenko explains, is brutally simple. Test Ukraine’s limits, then overwhelm them with numbers. Ten soldiers become twenty. Twenty become thirty. To stop fifty dispersed attackers, Ukraine might need more than a hundred drones and artillery strikes — resources it simply does not have.
Drone warfare remains central to Ukraine’s defense, accounting for an estimated 80% of Russian losses in some sectors. But drones are finite. Pilots are exhausted. Weather is uncontrollable. And without sufficient troops, artillery shells, and long-range firepower, even perfect surveillance cannot hold ground forever.
Zhluktenko’s account also exposes a deeper problem: traditional firepower has not kept pace with modern warfare. Mortars are nearly unusable due to battlefield transparency. HIMARS strikes are rationed to a handful per week. Some artillery units fire only a few shells a day — even when clear targets are identified.
Pokrovsk, he says, could not be defended indefinitely under these conditions.
The lesson from the front is stark. Drones have reshaped war, but they have not replaced it. Victory still depends on manpower, ammunition, logistics, and sustained support. As Zhluktenko redeploys to Dnipro, his message is clear: Ukraine’s survival will not be decided by technology alone, but by whether its allies match innovation with resources.
In modern war, drones may see everything — but they cannot do everything.
Russia-Ukraine War
Putin Revives Hypersonic Threat as Warning to West: Oreshnik Is Back
Putin Fires Oreshnik Hypersonic Missile to Signal Escalation to Ukraine, Europe and the U.S.
President Vladimir Putin’s decision to fire the Oreshnik hypersonic missile — a weapon Russia has not used since late 2024 — is less about battlefield impact and more about political intimidation at a sensitive moment in the war.
The strike in western Ukraine came after a bruising week for Moscow. The United States captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, one of Putin’s closest allies. Days later, U.S. forces seized a Russian-flagged oil tanker in the North Atlantic. At the same time, Britain and France announced plans to deploy troops to Ukraine if a ceasefire is reached — a move Russia immediately warned would turn foreign soldiers into “legitimate combat targets.”
Against that backdrop, the Oreshnik launch looks deliberate. Analysts say Moscow feels sidelined by diplomatic talks between Washington, Kyiv and European capitals, and especially angered by the prospect of Western troops on Ukrainian soil. The missile, capable of carrying nuclear or conventional warheads, was reportedly fitted with inert payloads — reinforcing the idea that the message, not destruction, was the objective.
Western officials read it exactly that way. European leaders branded the strike “escalatory,” while EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas called it a direct warning to Europe and the United States. The launch took place just 60 kilometers from NATO-member Poland, ensuring it could not be ignored.
Russia’s official explanation — that the missile was retaliation for an alleged Ukrainian drone attack on one of Putin’s residences — has been widely dismissed. Ukrainian officials deny such an attack ever happened, and even prominent Russian war bloggers questioned the credibility of the claim.
Military analysts describe the Oreshnik as a psychological weapon in this context: a reminder that Russia remains a nuclear-armed power willing to escalate if it feels cornered. Dmitry Medvedev, Putin’s deputy on the Security Council, openly linked the strike to recent U.S. actions and looming sanctions, framing it as a necessary shock to a chaotic global order.
Crucially, Russian commentators acknowledge the missile is scarce and unlikely to be used often. That only sharpens its meaning. Oreshnik is not routine firepower — it is a strategic signal.
The message from Moscow is blunt: Russia wants back into the center of negotiations, demands to be taken seriously, and is prepared to escalate symbolically if ignored. Whether that intimidation hardens Western resolve or pulls talks back toward Moscow remains the next test.
Russia-Ukraine War
Moscow Threatens to Strike British and French Forces in Ukraine
RED LINE DRAWN — Russia Warns Western Troops in Ukraine Would Be “Legitimate Targets” as UK and France Plan Post-Ceasefire Force.
Russia has issued its bluntest warning yet to Europe, declaring that any Western troops deployed to Ukraine would be treated as “legitimate combat targets,” a sharp escalation in rhetoric that underscores how fragile — and potentially explosive — any future ceasefire could be.
The threat came hours after Britain and France unveiled plans for a multinational force to deploy to Ukraine if hostilities pause. Meeting in Paris, leaders of the so-called “coalition of the willing” outlined a framework that could see thousands of European troops operating on Ukrainian soil to help secure airspace, protect maritime routes and assist in rebuilding Ukraine’s armed forces. French President Emmanuel Macron openly floated the idea of deploying French troops, while British Prime Minister Keir Starmer said the initiative would establish a legal basis for long-term Western military involvement.
Moscow’s response was immediate and unforgiving. In a statement, Russia’s Foreign Ministry warned that Western military units, infrastructure or depots in Ukraine would constitute “foreign intervention” and pose a direct threat to Russian security. Any such presence, it said, would fall squarely within the Russian military’s list of lawful targets. The ministry went further, branding the European initiative a dangerous “axis of war” that risks dragging the continent into a deeper, costlier confrontation.
The language matters. For the first time, the Kremlin is explicitly signaling that a post-ceasefire Western presence would not be treated as peacekeeping, but as an extension of the battlefield itself. That framing narrows the diplomatic space and raises the stakes for European capitals weighing how far they are willing to go to guarantee Ukraine’s security.
Russia continues to argue that its 2022 invasion was a pre-emptive move to stop NATO’s eastward expansion and prevent Ukraine from becoming a Western military outpost. It has long insisted that the stationing of foreign troops in Ukraine is a non-negotiable red line. Ukraine and its allies counter that Moscow’s real aim is territorial conquest and long-term domination, pointing to Russia’s occupation of nearly 20 percent of Ukrainian territory.
The United States has drawn its own limits. Washington has ruled out sending American troops but has voiced support for security arrangements designed to deter future Russian attacks. That gap — European ambition paired with American restraint — is now shaping a dangerous gray zone.
At its core, the dispute exposes the central paradox of any Ukraine ceasefire: Kyiv wants guarantees strong enough to prevent another invasion, while Moscow sees those same guarantees as provocation. Russia’s warning suggests that unless this contradiction is resolved, even “peace” could come with the constant risk of a wider European war.
Russia-Ukraine War
CIA Says Ukraine Never Tried to Kill Russian President
U.S. Intelligence Says Ukraine Did Not Target Putin in Alleged Drone Strike.
U.S. intelligence has concluded that Ukraine did not attempt to assassinate Russian President Vladimir Putin in a supposed drone strike near his country residence, directly contradicting claims made by the Kremlin.
According to a source familiar with the assessment, the CIA determined that Ukrainian forces were targeting a legitimate military objective in the same region—not Putin’s personal residence near Lake Valdai in northern Russia. Moscow has provided no evidence to support its allegation.
CIA Director John Ratcliffe briefed President Donald Trump on the findings earlier this week. Shortly after, Trump publicly amplified skepticism of the Russian narrative by sharing a New York Post editorial accusing Moscow of manufacturing excuses to derail peace talks.
The revelation comes at a sensitive diplomatic moment. Trump recently met Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at Mar-a-Lago, where both leaders said they were “very close” to a deal to end the war—an assessment the Kremlin itself initially echoed, despite continuing to press maximalist territorial demands.
Zelenskyy forcefully rejected Russia’s accusation, calling it a “complete fabrication” designed to justify further Russian attacks and sabotage diplomacy. “Typical Russian lies,” he wrote, accusing Moscow of deliberately undermining negotiations with Washington.
The intelligence finding reinforces growing Western suspicion that the Kremlin is weaponizing disinformation to stall peace while escalating military pressure. As talks inch forward, the episode underscores a familiar pattern: when diplomacy gains momentum, Moscow changes the story.
Russia-Ukraine War
Putin Moves the Nuclear Line West: Hypersonic Oreshnik Missiles Roll Into Belarus
Russia Deploys Nuclear-Capable Oreshnik Missiles to Belarus, Expanding Strike Reach Across Europe.
Russia has publicly unveiled the deployment of its nuclear-capable hypersonic Oreshnik missile systems in Belarus, marking a sharp escalation in Moscow’s nuclear signaling toward Europe.
Footage released by Russian state media shows mobile missile launchers maneuvering through forested terrain in Belarus, with Russian officers confirming the systems have entered active combat duty. The missiles, personally championed by President Vladimir Putin, are claimed to be capable of traveling at more than ten times the speed of sound—making them, according to Moscow, effectively impossible to intercept.
By stationing the missiles in Belarus, which borders Ukraine and NATO members Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia, Russia shortens warning times for potential strikes across Europe. Analysts say the move is less about battlefield utility and more about strategic intimidation, reinforcing Moscow’s reliance on nuclear threats to deter NATO support for Ukraine.
The Oreshnik was first tested in November 2024 against a Ukrainian target using a conventional warhead. Putin has since asserted that even without nuclear payloads, its destructive power rivals that of atomic weapons. With a reported range of up to 5,500 kilometers, the system places most of Europe firmly within reach.
Western officials remain skeptical. U.S. intelligence sources have downplayed the missile’s impact, calling it “not a game-changer,” while independent analysts suggest the deployment serves primarily political and psychological objectives.
Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko, a close Kremlin ally, confirmed that up to a dozen missiles may be stationed in the country, citing “Western aggression.” Though Belarus has not sent troops into Ukraine, its territory continues to serve as a forward platform for Russian military power.
The message from Moscow is unmistakable: as the war in Ukraine grinds on and diplomacy stalls, the Kremlin is doubling down on nuclear leverage—bringing the front line of deterrence closer to NATO’s borders.
Russia-Ukraine War
Zelensky Meets Trump in Florida as Russian Missiles Pound Kyiv.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is set to meet US President Donald Trump on Sunday in West Palm Beach, Florida, in a high-stakes bid to push stalled peace talks toward a breakthrough—while Russia continues to bombard Kyiv with missiles and drones.
The surprise 1 p.m. ET meeting at Mar-a-Lago, announced just days ago, comes after weeks of intensive US-led negotiations aimed at finalizing a peace framework to end the nearly four-year war. Trump’s original 28-point proposal has been narrowed to a 20-point plan, with US officials saying 90% of the deal is agreed. Zelensky confirmed that figure on Friday.
The remaining issues are the hardest: territorial concessions, security guarantees, and the future of the Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. Moscow continues to demand full control of eastern Donbas, while Kyiv has begun signaling limited flexibility—contingent on a ceasefire and a national referendum.
Even as talks accelerate, Russia has escalated attacks. Ukraine’s air force said Moscow launched 519 drones and 40 missiles overnight into Saturday. Zelensky warned that Russia’s actions on the battlefield contradict its diplomatic posture.
US officials say Trump believes he can push both sides toward agreement, including persuading Russia to accept US-backed security guarantees modeled on NATO’s Article 5. The package—described by officials as the “platinum standard”—would deter future Russian aggression and outline consequences for violations. Trump is reportedly open to taking the guarantees to Congress.
Russia will not participate in Sunday’s meeting. President Vladimir Putin said Saturday that if Kyiv refuses a political settlement, Moscow will achieve its goals “by military means.”
Trump struck a familiar note of leverage ahead of the meeting, telling Politico: “He doesn’t have anything until I approve it.”
With European leaders sidelined from this round of talks, Sunday’s meeting could determine whether diplomacy overtakes battlefield momentum—or whether the war grinds on despite near-complete negotiations.
Russia-Ukraine War
Kyiv Bombed as Zelenskyy Prepares Defining Meeting with Trump
As Ukraine pushes toward what could be the most consequential phase of peace negotiations since Russia’s full-scale invasion, Volodymyr Zelenskyy is set to meet European leaders and Donald Trump amid a renewed wave of Russian strikes on Kyiv that underscored the urgency—and fragility—of the diplomatic moment.
European leaders, including European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, were scheduled to join a call on Saturday with Zelenskyy and Trump, according to a commission spokesperson, as coordination intensifies ahead of the Ukrainian president’s trip to Florida on Sunday.
Zelenskyy has framed the meeting with Trump as pivotal, saying it would focus on the most sensitive elements of a proposed peace deal, including security guarantees, postwar reconstruction, and territorial questions surrounding the Donbas region and the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant.
The outlines of the deal are taking shape but remain incomplete. Zelenskyy said Friday that a proposed 20-point peace plan is “90% ready,” adding that Ukrainian and American negotiating teams have made “significant progress.” The aim of the Florida talks, he said, is to close the remaining gaps.
According to Axios, Zelenskyy has signaled a willingness to put the deal to a national referendum—if Russia agrees to a ceasefire of at least 60 days—particularly if Ukraine fails to secure what he considers a strong position on territorial integrity.
Yet even as diplomacy accelerated, the war did not pause. In the early hours of Saturday, Kyiv came under one of its most intense attacks in weeks. Ukrainian officials said Russia launched a mix of Kinzhal hypersonic missiles, Iskander ballistic missiles, Kalibr cruise missiles, and drones, striking at least seven locations across the capital.
Eleven people were injured, including two children. Fires broke out in high-rise residential buildings in multiple districts, and power outages were reported in parts of the surrounding region.
The assault rippled beyond Ukraine’s borders. Poland scrambled fighter jets, and airports in Rzeszów and Lublin were temporarily closed, highlighting how closely the conflict is watched—and felt—by NATO’s eastern flank.
The current push follows a burst of behind-the-scenes diplomacy last weekend in Miami, where Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff held separate meetings with Russian and Ukrainian representatives, as well as with Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner. The emerging proposal is described as an updated version of an earlier 28-point framework developed in US–Russia contacts, a document that critics say leaned heavily toward Moscow’s demands.
Ukraine has insisted that any agreement must include robust security guarantees, ideally modeled on NATO’s Article 5 mutual defense clause. Whether Russia would accept such guarantees remains deeply uncertain.
Moscow has already pushed back. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said Friday that Kyiv and its European backers were trying to “torpedo” an agreement and warned that the current proposal diverges sharply from earlier drafts discussed with US officials.
Trump, for his part, struck a characteristically transactional note. In an interview with Politico, he said he expected a “good” meeting with Zelenskyy but emphasized that no deal exists without his approval. “He doesn’t have anything until I approve it,” Trump said.
The juxtaposition is stark. As negotiators refine text and trade assurances, missiles continue to fall. Whether the Florida meeting narrows the gap between diplomacy and battlefield reality—or exposes how wide it remains—may determine not only the future of Ukraine’s war, but the credibility of the peace process itself.
Analysis
How Russia Is Bleeding Western Security Without Firing a Shot
A broken train line in Poland. Fires in Estonia. Balloons from Belarus. None of it is random — and all of it is costing Europe more than Moscow ever pays.
Europe is confronting a form of warfare that leaves no craters, no front lines and few public acknowledgments — yet steadily drains its security capacity. Western intelligence officials say Russia is deliberately overwhelming European states through a sustained campaign of sabotage designed to be cheap for Moscow and exhausting for everyone else.
The evidence is mounting. In eastern Poland, a passenger train carrying nearly 500 people was forced to stop after an overhead line collapsed, smashing windows and damaging tracks. Elsewhere on the same route, explosives detonated beneath a freight train. No one was killed, but Warsaw reacted as if the warning was unmistakable: 10,000 troops were deployed to protect critical infrastructure. Polish authorities blamed Russia’s intelligence services.
That incident is one of at least 145 cases logged in an Associated Press database that Western officials link to Russia, its proxies or its ally Belarus since the invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The acts range from arson and explosives plots to cyberattacks, vandalism and warehouse fires. Most cause limited physical damage. That is precisely the point.
European intelligence officials say the real cost lies in the response. Every incident triggers multinational investigations, intelligence sharing and surveillance operations. One senior intelligence chief told AP that Russian interference now consumes as much agency time as counterterrorism. From Moscow’s perspective, tying up Europe’s security machinery is already a strategic win.
The scale is accelerating. AP data shows arson and explosives plots jumping from one documented case in 2023 to 26 in 2024, with several more already recorded in 2025. Poland and Estonia — both bordering Russia and among Ukraine’s strongest backers — are the most frequently targeted, followed by Germany, France, the U.K. and Latvia.
Officials believe Moscow briefly slowed the campaign late last year, likely to avoid antagonizing the incoming Trump administration in Washington. That pause is over. “They are back to business,” one European official said.
Russia’s method is calculated. Rather than risking trained intelligence officers, Moscow outsources operations to criminals, smugglers and foreign nationals with little to lose. Recruits are often found in prisons or through organized crime networks. One suspect linked to sabotage of Polish railways had worked for Russia’s GRU while moving across borders unnoticed, exploiting gaps in intelligence sharing.
Even failed plots serve a purpose. In Lithuania, a cache of drone parts and explosives hidden in a cemetery was uncovered before an attack could occur — but only after months of surveillance and coordination. In Latvia and Estonia, foreign operatives with no local ties have forced authorities into cross-border manhunts stretching from the Baltics to Italy.
The strategy is brutally efficient. Europe spends millions to stop attacks that cost Moscow almost nothing to organize.
Yet the pressure has produced one unintended effect: deeper cooperation. Baltic prosecutors have formed joint investigation teams. British police are training officers to recognize state-backed sabotage. Intelligence sharing is improving, even as Russia tests new methods — from arson to weather balloons drifting from Belarus that repeatedly shut down airports.
For now, the damage remains limited. But officials warn the campaign is evolving. What carries cigarettes today, they note, could carry something far more dangerous tomorrow.
This is not chaos. It is a system — and Europe is learning, belatedly, that the quiet wars can be the most corrosive of all.
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